January Solar Generation and Export Numbers

January delivered a challenging start to the year, with a cold snap early in the month driving increased heat pump usage and higher daytime demand. To adapt, we switched to morning and afternoon battery charging, accounting for 12 charging slots, while suspending the batteries between 10pm and midnight to avoid inefficient cycling. January also included a single Octopus Saving Session on the 28th. Overall, this was the weakest solar generation month since the system was installed, reflecting deep winter conditions and limited daylight.

Solar generation for the month totalled 79.30 kWh, down 4.20 kWh compared to January last year’s 83.50 kWh. Solar contributed just 8% of total household consumption, which is in line with expectations for mid-winter but marks the lowest performance we’ve seen to date. There were no days where solar generation exceeded household consumption or grid imports, resulting in zero self-sustained days by either measure this month.

Total household consumption reached 951.70 kWh, reflecting the impact of colder weather and extended heat pump operation. Grid imports for the month were 988.90 kWh, reinforcing how heavily winter demand relies on the grid when solar availability is minimal.

Battery usage remained central to cost control. The batteries were charged with 595.20 kWh and discharged 554.80 kWh, showing sustained cycling to offset higher-priced daytime electricity. We used 356 grid charging slots during the month, while the batteries were suspended for 136 slots, largely to avoid charging during periods where the tariff offered no advantage.

The average grid charging slot cost this month was 15.08p per kWh. The cheapest charging slot was 14.62p, while the most expensive slot used reached 29.82p. Despite some higher-priced slots being unavoidable due to demand, the overall average remained well below the current price cap of 27.69p per kWh. The standing charge for the period was 48.389p per day.

The total cost of electricity imported on the Cosy tariff was £149.12. For comparison, importing the same energy on the standard tariff would have cost £273.83, while supplying the household entirely on the standard tariff would have resulted in a cost of £263.53. This represents a saving of £126.91 compared to standard tariff imports, and £116.61 compared to standard tariff household consumption.

Exports were slightly higher than December but still modest, as expected for January. We exported 14.70 kWh during the month, resulting in £2.21 of export savings. With limited generation, most solar energy was either consumed directly or used to support battery charging.

Looking at the wider picture, the average unit cost paid so far this year stands at 15.08p per kWh, significantly below the price cap average. Even in the most solar-constrained month, the combination of battery optimisation and the Cosy tariff continues to deliver substantial savings.

Overall, January highlights the system operating at its most grid-dependent. Solar contribution is at its lowest, battery strategy is critical, and savings are driven almost entirely by tariff selection and intelligent charging decisions. While generation was disappointing, the financial performance reinforces how effective the system remains, even under the toughest winter conditions.

According to the Octo-Aid app, this was the breakdown of our usage per rate.

Grid Usage by Rate (High, Mid and Low)

Grid Usage by Rate (High, Mid and Low)

As solar panels output declines over the years I have added the previous years  generation to the table at the bottom. Of course weather comes into it as well, but I thought it would be interesting to track. I have added this post that shows each year as a graph.

Octopus Energy bill

Octopus Watch Tariff Comparison Report. This does not include exporting

 

Best Solar Generation

Date kWh
Generation 26th May 2023 32.90
Front generation 14th June 2023 19.80
Back generation 7th June 2023 14.70
Worst generation 12th December 2022 0.20

Solar Generation January 2026

Date kWh
Best generation 28th 5.40
Best front generation 28th 4.10
Best back generation 30th 1.50
Worst generation 9th 0.70
Worst front generation 9th 0.40
Worst back generation 9th 0.30
 

Best Solar Export and Profit

Date kWh Profit
Exported kWh 15th June 2024 22.20
Exported profit 15th June 2024 22.20 £3.15 (15p kWh)
Profit day 14th April 2024 18.20 £2.67

Solar/Battery Export and Profit January 2026

Date kWh Income/Cost
Best kWh export - Battery & Solar 28th 2.00
Best kWh export - Solar Only 3rd 0.30
Best export profit 28th 2.00 £0.30 (15p kWh)
Cheapest Day 24th £3.79

The graph below shows the generation for both front and back panels

Total Solar Generation

The graph below shows the generation for both front and back panels

The graph below shows generation, battery discharge, battery charging, export, import to use and consumption for 2026

Showing generation, battery discharge, battery charging, export, import to use and consumption for 2026

Overview for December

Generation and usage statistics pie chart

The graph below shows the generation for each day

Graph showing production for the month

The graphs below show the generation split between the front and back panels

Graph showing production for the front facing panels

Graph showing production for the back facing panels

The graphs below show the yearly generation split across both the back and front panels

Total Front Solar Generation

Total Front Solar Generation

Total Back panel generation

Back panel generation

Octopus Cosy

The costs shown here do include the standing charge. Any comparisons are compared to the unit cost if we were not on Cosy Octopus. There are two comparisons. One is the cost of what we imported from the grid for battery charging. The other is, the cost of the energy used by the house, house consumption.

January Grid Information

Standard Tariff 27.69p
Standing Charge 48.39p
Cost from the grid £ 149.12 (Cosy) £ 273.83 (Standard)
Savings including export £126.91
Exported 14.70 kWh £2.21 @ 15p kWh
Charging slots used 356
Battery Suspended Slots 136
Average unit slot price 15.08
Cheapest slot 14.62p
Most expensive slot 29.82p
House consumed 951.70 kWh
Solar generated 2026/2025 79.30 kWh 83.50 kWh
Battery Charged/Discharged 595.20 kWh 554.80 kWh
Percentage generated by solar 8%
Self Sustained Days 2026 (More solar than consumed) 0
Self Sustained Days 2026 (More solar than we imported) 0

Here is the Octopus Watch report summary

Octopus Watch summary

 


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Michael Curtis

My introduction to computers started at my middle school in 1981 when our maths teacher brought in a ZX80. That led the computer club being founded and using a Research Machine 380Z

My first computer was a 48K ZX Spectrum which I loved to programme. Once I left school I worked as a photocopier engineer, then a fax engineer and finally moving on the Apple computers.

For the next 30 years I worked as a system administrator. I now work in the cyber security industry as a Sophos Professional Services consultant

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Solar Generation Year On Year Comparison